This is in response to the claim that the EPL race involves "five or six teams for the title"
Stats I used for this analysis is below. You can scroll down to see what I'm referencing.
Let's consider "title-race" this way. If a team is within 9 points of the 1st place team, then they are three games behind. This would make them competitive, because if the winner wins with four games to spare, then it doesn't really count as a "title-race". Let's round 9 up to 10 just so it's easier to tell from the charts.
So let's count how many teams were within 10 points of winning the title. [Basically, let's see how many teams were actually 'competing' for the title.]
Season | La Liga | EPL |
---|---|---|
1999-00 | 6 | Run-away |
2000-01 | 3 | 2 |
2001-02 | 3 | 3 |
2002-03 | 3 | 2 |
2003-04 | 4 | Run-away |
2004-05 | 2 | Run-away |
2005-06 | Run-away | 3 |
2006-07 | 4 | 2 |
2007-08 | 2 | 3 |
2008-09 | 2 | 3 |
2009-10 | 2 | 2 |
2010-11 | 2 | 3 |
2011-12 | 2 | 2 |
2012-13 | Run-away | Run-away |
2013-14 | 3 | 4 |
2014-15 | 2 | 2 |
2015-16 | 3 | 2 |
.
Average # of teams that are 'competing' (aka the first team + teams that are within 10 points of the first team)...
LL: 2.65
PL: 2.18
So you see, over the past 17 years, since the turn of the new millenium, the EPL and La Liga have, on average, two teams fighting for the title. A far cry from your claim that "five or six teams fight for the title". If a team is more than 10 points from the top, they are not "competing" for the title because 10 points is a huge f.ucking gap. It's a 4-game's worth of space in the table at the very minimum.
You wanna see the # of teams that finished in the Top 3 for each league from 1999-00 season to 2015-16?
PL: Chelsea, United, City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Newcastle, Leeds, Leicester, Tottenham (9 teams)
LL: Real, Barcelona, Atletico, Villarreal, Valencia, Deportivo, Mallorca, Sociedad, Sevilla (9 teams)
Number of wins?
United: 8
Chelsea: 4
City: 2
Arsenal: 2
Leicester: 1
Barcelona: 8
Real: 5
Valencia: 2
Deportivo: 1
Atletico: 1
Notice the similarity? Lol. United and Barcelona both win eight times in seventeen years. That's almost half. Real and Chelsea follow suit with 5 and 4 wins respectively. The remaining three teams in either league did not win more than twice. I'm struggling to see this "5 or 6 teams competing for the title" argument anymore. Matter of fact, that argument does not exist. It's a farce. Statistics is all it takes to disprove that claim.
Stats for difference in points for the EPL Top 6 each season
Season | 1st-2nd | 2nd-3rd | 3rd-4th | 4th-5th | 5th-6th | 1st-6th |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1999-00 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 33 |
2000-01 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 19 |
2001-02 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 |
2002-03 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 23 |
2003-04 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 34 |
2004-05 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 37 |
2005-06 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
2006-07 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 29 |
2007-08 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 27 |
2008-09 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 28 |
2009-10 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22 |
2010-11 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 22 |
2011-12 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
2012-13 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 26 |
2013-14 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17 |
2014-15 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 |
2015-16 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 |
Stats for the difference in points for La Liga Top 6 each season
Season | 1st-2nd | 2nd-3rd | 3rd-4th | 4th-5th | 5th-6th | 1st-6th |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1999-00 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
2000-01 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 21 |
2001-02 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
2002-03 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 22 |
2003-04 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 22 |
2004-05 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 |
2005-06 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 |
2006-07 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
2007-08 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 25 |
2008-09 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 25 |
2009-10 | 3 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 41 |
2010-11 | 4 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 38 |
2011-12 | 9 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 45 |
2012-13 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 43 |
2013-14 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 31 |
2014-15 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 34 |
2015-16 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
Averages
League | 1st-2nd | 2nd-3rd | 3rd-4th | 4th-5th | 5th-6th | 1st-6th |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL | 7.35 | 5.12 | 5.65 | 4.47 | 3.00 | 25.65 |
LL | 5.65 | 8.82 | 6.47 | 2.65 | 3.53 | 27.06 |
Stats to prove that over 1999-2016, even through the 3-4 years that La Liga had outrageous gaps between second and third place, the average amount of points from 1st to 6th place in both league is 26-27. Lol.
This is in response to the claim that the EPL race involves "five or six teams for the title"
Stats I used for this analysis is below. You can scroll down to see what I'm referencing.
Let's consider "title-race" this way. If a team is within 9 points of the 1st place team, then they are three games behind. This would make them competitive, because if the winner wins with four games to spare, then it doesn't really count as a "title-race". Let's round 9 up to 10 just so it's easier to tell from the charts.
So let's count how many teams were within 10 points of winning the title. [Basically, let's see how many teams were actually 'competing' for the title.]
Season | La Liga | EPL |
---|---|---|
1999-00 | 6 | Run-away |
2000-01 | 3 | 2 |
2001-02 | 3 | 3 |
2002-03 | 3 | 2 |
2003-04 | 4 | Run-away |
2004-05 | 2 | Run-away |
2005-06 | Run-away | 3 |
2006-07 | 4 | 2 |
2007-08 | 2 | 3 |
2008-09 | 2 | 3 |
2009-10 | 2 | 2 |
2010-11 | 2 | 3 |
2011-12 | 2 | 2 |
2012-13 | Run-away | Run-away |
2013-14 | 3 | 4 |
2014-15 | 2 | 3 |
2015-16 | 3 | 2 |
.
Average # of teams that are 'competing' (aka the first team + teams that are within 10 points of the first team)...
LL: 2.65
PL: 2.24
So you see, over the past 17 years, since the turn of the new millenium, the EPL and La Liga have, on average, two teams fighting for the title. A far cry from your claim that "five or six teams fight for the title". If a team is more than 10 points from the top, they are not "competing" for the title because 10 points is a huge f.ucking gap. It's a 4-game's worth of space in the table at the very minimum.
You wanna see the # of teams that finished in the Top 3 for each league from 1999-00 season to 2015-16?
PL: Chelsea, United, City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Newcastle, Leeds, Leicester, Tottenham (9 teams)
LL: Real, Barcelona, Atletico, Villarreal, Valencia, Deportivo, Mallorca, Sociedad, Sevilla (9 teams)
Number of wins?
United: 8
Chelsea: 4
City: 2
Arsenal: 2
Leicester: 1
Barcelona: 8
Real: 5
Valencia: 2
Deportivo: 1
Atletico: 1
Notice the similarity? Lol. United and Barcelona both win eight times in seventeen years. That's almost half. Real and Chelsea follow suit with 5 and 4 wins respectively. The remaining three teams in either league did not win more than twice. I'm struggling to see this "5 or 6 teams competing for the title" argument anymore. Matter of fact, that argument does not exist. It's a farce. Statistics is all it takes to disprove that claim.
Stats for difference in points for the EPL Top 6 each season
Season | 1st-2nd | 2nd-3rd | 3rd-4th | 4th-5th | 5th-6th | 1st-6th |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1999-00 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 33 |
2000-01 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 19 |
2001-02 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 |
2002-03 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 23 |
2003-04 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 34 |
2004-05 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 37 |
2005-06 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
2006-07 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 29 |
2007-08 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 27 |
2008-09 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 28 |
2009-10 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22 |
2010-11 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 22 |
2011-12 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
2012-13 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 26 |
2013-14 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17 |
2014-15 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 |
2015-16 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 |
Stats for the difference in points for La Liga Top 6 each season
Season | 1st-2nd | 2nd-3rd | 3rd-4th | 4th-5th | 5th-6th | 1st-6th |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1999-00 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
2000-01 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 21 |
2001-02 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
2002-03 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 22 |
2003-04 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 22 |
2004-05 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 |
2005-06 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 |
2006-07 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
2007-08 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 25 |
2008-09 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 25 |
2009-10 | 3 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 41 |
2010-11 | 4 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 38 |
2011-12 | 9 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 45 |
2012-13 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 43 |
2013-14 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 31 |
2014-15 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 34 |
2015-16 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
So many statements thrown around. Everyone got an opinion. But what do we base them on? Tiki speaks with emotions, Sun is the PC principal in southpark, myself base it on subjective preferences. Others have entirely different definitions on how to make a comparison of let's say La Liga and EPL.
So hear me out. Bottom-up. That's the way everything should be govern, and the way we start this analysis.
The revenue in EPL for 2014-15 is 4070m euros in comparison to La Ligas 2053m euros. The average club income is £155m for EPL in comparison to £77.5m for La Liga. And we all know which teams generate and receive most of that money. Luckily enough at least the tv rights will change with a new legislation that was passed at the end of April which will come into play start from 2016 season where La Liga will sell its TV rights collectively for all clubs and the income will be shared equally between clubs. Unlike the current system where clubs sell their rights independently causing massive difference income of top 2 and the rest of the clubs in spanish top flight.
However, In comparison EPL are miles ahead in this game with over £5 billion just from domestic rights sale and premier league are expecting another £3 billion from oversees rights which means starting from 2016-17 season bottom premier league club will earn around £100 million in tv rights money and thats way more than champions of the top leagues around europe.
So, that's the money part. But we all know that EPL clubs pay way more than most other clubs for similar talents right? Okay. Let's check the VALUE of the clubs i.e. the collected perceived value of the clubs and not the transfer sums. Beginning from the bottom up (according to transfermarkt - the most reliable source for this measure).
See a pattern? Obviously excluding the odd ones. Because money does not explain everything (Chelsea last season - Valencia this..), but the pattern is clear as day. The richer the clubs are the better players they can attract. In fact EPL pays higher wages than La Liga and Serie A combined with a weekly average of £43,717 to La Liga's £23,327 a week.
That's only money you say? Nopp. It's value, incentives AND money.
Now, to an older thread I created (and didn't finish before the transfer deadline) about the netto transfers. Is EPL a team that buys players or sells players? And the same for La Liga etc. You be the judge.
EPL
Arsenal In: 37.5 Out: 0 Net: -37.5
Bournemouth: In: 27.5 Out: 17.9 Net: -9.6
Burnely: In: 2.5 Out: 0 Net: -2.5
Chelsea: In: 65 Out: 12 net: -53
Crystal Palace: In: 23 Out: 9 net: -14
Everton: In 7.2 Out: 48 Net: + 40.8
Hull: In 4.5 Out: 0 Net: -4.5
Leicester: In: 35.1 Out: 39.5 Net: +4.4
Liverpool: In: 63.9 Out: 36 Net: -27.9
United: In: 123.2 Out: 0 Net; -123.2
City: In: 118 Out: 4.1 Net: -113.9
Middlesbrough: In: 18.8 Out: 0 Net: -18.8
Southampton: In: 22.8 Out: 56.7 Net: +33.9
Stoke: In: 18 Out: 0 Net -18
Sunderland: In: 8 Out: 0.7 Net -7.3
Swansea: In 2 Out: 27.9 Net: + 25.9
Spurs: In 29.5 Out: 8 Net: -21.5
Watford: In: 16.2 Out: 8.5 Net: -7.7
West B: In: 6 Out: 0 Net: -6
West Ham: In: 22.4 Out: 10 Net: -12.4
Total Net:-372.8m pounds Total revenue: 929,4m pounds
1.17 conversion rate to euros. Total Net: -436.2m€ Total revenue: 1087,4m€
**La Liga***
Alaves: In 0.55 Out: 0 Net: -0.55
Atletico: In: 79.5 Out: 9 Net: -70.5
Bilbao In: 0 Out: 0 Net: 0
Barcelona: In: 83.3 Out: 13.6 Net: -69.7
Celta: In: 7 Out: 13.5 Net: +6.5
Deportivo: In: 5.6 Out: 0 Net: -5.6
Eibar: In: 3.1 Out: 5 Net: +1.9
Espanyol: In: 9 Out: 0 Net: -9
Granada: In: 0 Out: 25.2 Net: +25.2
Las Palmas: In: 1.8 Out: 0 Net: +1.8
Leganes: In: 1 Out: 0 Net: -1
Malaga: In: 10.3 Out: 0 Net: -10.3
Osasuna: In: 0 Out: 3.8 Net: -3.8
Real Madrid: In: 27 Out: 37.5 Net: +10.5
Real Sociedad: In: 10.7 Out: 9.6 Net: -1.1
Real Betis: In: 15 Out: 8 Net: -7
Sevilla: In: 47.5 Out: 71 Net: +22.5
Sporting: In: 0.6 Out: 0 Net: -0.6
Valencia: In: 10 Out: 41.5 Net: +31.5
Villareal: In: 42 Out: 12.3 Net: -29.7
Total net: -108.95m€ Total revenue: 603,95m€
Now please compare the transfers for teams at the bottom side of the table in EPL and La Liga.
So, for your statements to be true, La Liga must have endlessly better scouts, youth systems and academies given that their resources are not nearly as big as EPL's. And I don't think they are. However, I do believe that Spain produce much better domestically products because of a better football climate and because of the corrupt FA. EPL has 66.4% foreign players while La Liga has 41.6%. I hold it for true that EPL buy a lot of good Spanish players. That's not what this is about though.
Do you need any other proof that EPL bottom teams are better than La Ligas? Just look at a game between them and a top team in the league. Look how they week in and out beat the top teams. Look how none of the matches in EPL are certain in advance. Where you surprised that Pool got beat the other day? I certainly wasn't. And before you watch the game have a look on the odds given from the pundits. Any 1.06 odds in EPL? Nopp.
Sources:
http://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/
http://www.totalsportek.com/money/tottenham-player-salaries/
https://www.rt.com/sport/345182-premier-league-wages-report/
http://www.mirror.co.uk/sport/football/news/european-big-four-leagues-goals-3513388
https://uk.sports.yahoo.com/news/study-reveals-premier-league-highest-155522255.html