hmm... I think it's going to be the usual 2 suspects. But 2 points:
1: IMO, there is absolutely no WAY in hell that Drogba or Cech deserve it more. I completely agree they were fabulously towards the end of the season but that doesn't paper over their underwhelming performances earlier in the year. Moreover you are comparing them to 2 people who have had record-breaking years with near-humanly impossible statistics and flair. I mean there are players that had better overall performances and were possibly even more valuable to their teams and they still wouldn't get a shout. Messi & CR7 are just that good.
2: There a few reasons why I think Ronaldo may be favourite to win it this year:
-Messi has won the previous 3 (some journo's like to keep things fresh to combat their boredom)
-Ronaldo was an integral part of a team that actually won La Liga with a respectable margin
-The Euros may be the deciding factor. The fact that he has the opportunity to further showcase his talents while Messi can't, will give him an advantage. Portugal don't have to win but the fact that people are talking about him while Messi kind of takes a back seat helps his cause. People tend to have short memories and so the most recent impression last the longest (see MOTM votes for an example of what I mean).
I think it will go to Ronaldo or Messi,despite the fact that i think that Cech or drogba deserve it more!