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Most over-paid vs. under-paid transfer - CIES' report 2015
tuan_jinn 9 years ago Edited
Manchester United, Netherlands 198 6912

According to CIES (the football observatory)'s article issued today (No. 117 - 08/09/2015):

  • Anthony Martial is the MOST over-paid transfer (gap of 27.9 mil)! AGREE
  • Raheem Sterling is the MOST under-paid transfer (should have been 95.1 mil instead of 63.0 mil)!!! WTH, this is utter bullshit.

(Inflation compared to 2009-2014: +23%)

EPL contributes the largest number of over-paid transfers and both teams from Manchester had 2 players each... this is NOT the Manchester United I've known :(

Anyway, those are interesting data, which some I agree and some I am like wtf...
Src: http://www.football-observatory.com/IMG/pdf/wp117_eng.pdf

2
  • History
Showing previous versions of this text.

According to CIES (the football observatory)'s article issued today (No. 117 - 08/09/2015):

  • Anthony Martial is the MOST over-paid transfer (gap of 27.9 mil)! AGREE
  • Raheem Sterling is the MOST under-paid transfer (should have been 95.1 mil instead of 63.0 mil)!!! WTH, this is utter bullshit.

(Inflation compared to 2009-2014: +23%)

EPL contributes the largest number of over-paid transfers and both teams from Manchester had 2 players each... this is NOT the Manchester United I've known :(

Anyway, those are interesting data, which some I agree and some I am like wtf...

According to CIES (the football observatory)'s article issued today (No. 117 - 08/09/2015):

  • Anthony Martial is the MOST over-paid transfer (gap of 27.9 mil)! AGREE
  • Raheem Sterling is the MOST under-paid transfer (should have been 95.1 mil instead of 63.0 mil)!!! WTH, this is utter bullshit.

(Inflation compared to 2009-2014: +23%)

EPL contributes the largest number of over-paid transfers and both teams from Manchester had 2 players each... this is NOT the Manchester United I've known :(

Anyway, those are interesting data, which some I agree and some I am like wtf...

Comments
Emrecan_58 9 years ago
Besiktas 149 3375

Interesting.
The first 3 overpaid transfers sound right. But I still believe Martial and De Bruyne will be very succesful on a long term. Also I still believe that De Bruyne will prove that he was the best transfer of this transfer season. Not sure about Benteke though. We will see Di Maria and Arda if they deserved that amount. Otamendi, Romagnoli and Draxler and Dybala definitely deserve that amount.
About the underpaid transfers: Sterling's estimated price 95.1? Lol. Mbiwa, Destro, Ogbonna, Dzeko and especially Raul Garcia are the best bargain transfers on that list. And maybe we could also add Jovetic and Max Cruse.

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Marcus2011 9 years ago
Chelsea FC, England 277 6501

I think Barcelona paid exactly what Arda is worth . and Peter Cech is exactly what he worth . He is still world class and one of the best in the world.

Di Maria will be force in PSG. I believe this guy is going to turn PSG into powerhouse .

Martial will the best player in the world so i find it ridiculous that he is in overpaid place . I also find it ridiculous that you would think I am being serious haha no way he is underpaid... Apparently we did try to hijack him , but I am glad we did not make that stupid move . Even if he turns out to be great , we have prospects who needs to be given chance .

KDB is going to be great at City but i think he will choke in big matches . I just think he will create imbalance that will work against City . Therefore overpaid .

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Tuanis 9 years ago
Manchester United, England 87 2311

How can Sterling be estimated in 95m and Martial only in 22m...? makes no sense at all.

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bluezz 9 years ago
Chelsea 14 724

Wait how is torres not there? Is it because no one expected him to do bad? And why is cech on overpaid list? LOL I'm lost

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Marcus2011 9 years ago
Chelsea FC, England 277 6501

@tuanis

what do you mean it makes no sense ?

Sterling was part of three forwards that banged 102 goals tearing apart defenses ( talking about 13-14 season ) . He had little set back in 14-15 but he was still best player in Liverpool . He had instant impact at City , so I am trying to comprehend what does not make sense ?

Ofcourse not 95 m but comparing Martial to Sterling as if Martial should be same price tag as Sterling , does not make sense to me at all ...

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Emrecan_58 9 years ago
Besiktas 149 3375

@Marcus I think he meant that if Sterling's estimated price 95.1 then Martial's should have been more than 22M; or the opposite. Agree about Sterling's 13-14 season but that price is too much for that one season and considerin his latest performances at Liverpool.

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Marcus2011 9 years ago
Chelsea FC, England 277 6501

I understood what he said . That is why i meant that Martial evaluation is more accurate . Sterling little overpriced but certainly worth twice more than Martial .

Lets scratch that last year of uncertainty under Brendan who can only manage donkeys . Do you agree he is having a good start to a season ?

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SunFlash 9 years ago
USA 19 3260

He's had a pretty decent start.

That being said, if he is truly worth 95 million he should've scored 5 league goals by now.

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Emrecan_58 9 years ago Edited
Besiktas 149 3375

We will see this year how he will perform and if he deserves his amount. He actually started with a decent performance this year. Time will show us. He is very young.

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We will see this year how he will perform and if he going to deserve his amount. He actually started with a decent performance this year. Time will show us. He is very young.

Marcus2011 9 years ago
Chelsea FC, England 277 6501

Sterling is direct reason City has started campaign so well . Raheem Sterling is the reason why Silva free flowing football is going so well .

You guys need to watch City games . Sterling has become the blade on that left flank which City constantly uses to clinch their victories . Next time we face City we must do something about Sterling , because he stretches our defenses and brings the players in , opening space for Aguero and Silva . This guy is exactly what City needed .

He is not have a descent start , he is having a fantastic start . I think i am not over exaggerating . I believed before City are making a great signing and actually did not think it would be this great . If he brings the titles then he will worth that 95 million tag , so far he met his original price already . ( According to inflated market ) .

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Emrecan_58 9 years ago Edited
Besiktas 149 3375

City have started the season as a team and Sterling was in the starting 11 all the games. I would not call it fantastic. Its only the start of the season. He did played very good tho. He adapted the team very quick and he had an assist and a goal so far for the first 4 games if I am not wrong. Like I said time will show. But even if he brings titles this year I dont think he would worth 95M. Consistency is the main determinant in this situation. Considering his age, 3 or 4 years will show us his original amount. Maybe if 95M or 55M.

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City have started the season as a team and Sterling was in the starting 11 all the games. I would not call it fantastic. Its only the start of the season. He did played very good tho. He adapted the team very quick and he had an assist and a goal so far for the first 4 games if I am not wrong. Like I said time will show. But even if he brings titles this year I dont think he would worth 95M. Consistency is the main determinant in this situation. Considering his age, 3 or 4 years will show us his original amount for this year.

Tuanis 9 years ago
Manchester United, England 87 2311

Ok what i meant was that the prices shouldn't be that different.
Instead of 95-22 it should be something like 50-35.

Martial is just a young version of sterling. If he had stayed another season at Monaco his price would have been veery similar to Sterling's. Also Sterling being British is always a price-booster.

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tuan_jinn 9 years ago
Manchester United, Netherlands 198 6912

Sterling has more than just a decent start IMO, considering he needs to adapt the the new environment. He brings all kind of freshness to MC, I have to say. Im not going to discuss about his worth right now cuz that deserves a different thread.

But I agree with Tuanis, the prices between those 2 shouldn't be that much different. I think the best would be 55 - 35

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Marcus2011 9 years ago
Chelsea FC, England 277 6501

Don't judge Sterling with stats . He is different kind of player and his contributing in different way . You must watch matches to see what I mean .

I am not saying this because he is English . I think he has exceeded expectations and if he brings titles like treble to City then every penny will worth 95 . So far he fits the price tag he was bought at .

Price tag in this inflated market . No player that young should worth that much but this is the market we are dealing with and it is not like Sterling was unproven player .

@tuanis

Just admit it mate , it was a panic buy ... No way he worth even close to 35 ... it happens when you are trying to close the deal on the deadline day . If Martial stayed another season with Monaco , who are getting weaker and weaker without money they had and playing without CL or challenging for titles , he would have cost less .

You gambled big , but I think it wont payout and ofcourse as rival fan i hope it won't just like United fans hoped Pedro would fail ))

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tiki_taka 9 years ago
Barcelona, France 367 9768

Take Sterling away from this start of the season, City would have taken all the points, take away Silva/Aguero huh ?

Other than this, Sterling has built a big marketting project arround him, he is the English Neymar but with less stats and consistence, a marketting monster tho.
He will score from time to time and make all the headlines in England as usual, sell shirts, sign autographs for youngsters and bring new young fanbase...

This is only my opinion on the player, he is not yet the decisive player City needs to step up level in CL, i would bet more on KDB who showed maturity and consistence in his German period...

Well Turan may be overpaid but when you activate a players release clause, you pay the fact that his team is not that interested in selling him for his actual value, even if for me he worth more than just what he was valued at.

Martial, well we all agree, not even argue about this, the guy was a sub 5 month ago, he isnt even a ligue 1 rookie of the year, but watching the player, more mature than Raheem, may be less talented but more adapted to a long term success, some people may not understand me tho or find me biased, its only my instinct, he looks serious and calm.

Aymen Abdennour at 12.9m euros ? No way. Actually 25M is more than fair.

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tuan_jinn 9 years ago
Manchester United, Netherlands 198 6912

Guys, comparing Martial & Sterling now is like comparing pear and apple. They have similarity because they are young, and expensive... :D, but they have already had different path. Let's compare them after 2 years. :D

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tiki_taka 9 years ago
Barcelona, France 367 9768

Well, we will re-open this thread in 2 years mate ;)

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rayrex7 9 years ago
Real Madrid, Croatia 26 797

^lol seems like it,

Martial made a good debut and is really making United a big threat. If LVG makes Rooney- Depay-Martial work together, guys I wont lie but dang they may even be UCL contenders, but still its just 1 match. Yet Nowadays almost all the top teams are relying tom make a formidable front 3 like Madrid and Barca.

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quikzyyy 9 years ago
Arsenal 429 9010

Sterling underpaid, not even gonna read others.

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tiki_taka 9 years ago Edited
Barcelona, France 367 9768

One week later, Martial 3 goals in 100 min played...
Martial > Sterling, one does not need 10 chances to score one.

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Showing previous versions of this text.

One week later, Martial 3 goals in 100 min played...