Before giving my prediction, i want to say that Atletico is one of the hardes teams to accomplish a come back against, they are more confortable while leading the score.
I noticed an apparent weakness, their LB position. After Fellipe Luis departure, they signed 2 good players Siquiera and Gamez as a second choice, Barça insisted on the left wing where the 3 goals came from, also many chances missed started from there.
Atletico has a clear unbalance in defense, Miranda injured, Gimenez is doing a good job and the pair Godin/Gimenez works well, Juanfran for moe is the best RB in the world but Gamez looked very poor defensively on 1 vs 1.

If Carvajal is on a great day and Madrid midlefied insists on the Left flank, they may stand a chance if Atleti doesnt score, 1 goal from Atleti and the game is over because 4-1 seems unlikely despite the apparent weakness...

Chances of qualification : 25% for Madrid, 75% for Atletico.

My prediction : 2-1 or 3-1 and Atletico goes through...

What is your predictions, and of course if you have anything to say related to this game, feel free to share it.

So if benz is not doing well then why not give chicharito a shot. What was the point of bringing in a backup? Chicharito can't prove himself from the bench. Benzema gets many chances and many games to prove himself, otherwise let him leave in the winter transfer window.