A straight Real Madrid win combined with over 2.5 goals looks like a strong angle here.
Atletico don’t have the same urgency in this spot. With a cup final ahead and a major Champions League clash against Barcelona coming up, rotation feels likely — and that could affect their intensity.
Real Madrid, on the other hand, are in full flow and under pressure to keep pace in the title race. That usually translates into a more aggressive approach, especially at home.
With their attacking quality and current momentum, Madrid should be able to create enough chances to push the game over the total.
Prediction: Real Madrid to win & Over 2.5 goals
There’s also value in the player market.
Vinicius Jr is in strong form, looks confident, and continues to be heavily involved in Madrid’s attacking output.
Anytime goalscorer: Vinicius Jr