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CL 1/8 final draw probabilities.
tiki_taka 10 years ago Edited
Barcelona, France 367 9768


**

Pot 1** : Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, Fc Barcelona, Chelsea, Dortmund, Atletico Madrid, Monaco, Porto.

Pot 2 : Arsenal, Juventus, Schalke 04, Bayer Leverkusen, Shaktar Donetsk, Man City, Basel, PSG.

Drawing rules : Each team wont be able to draw the team qualified from the same group, and any team from the same country.

For example, for Chelsea, they wont draw Arsenal, City and Schalke.
So their next rival will be one of the 5 : Juventus, Leverkusen, Donetsk, Basel, PSG.
Even though we could imagine that they have 20 per cent chances of drawing one of the 5, applying the drawing rules on all teams gives some teams more chances to meet them, in Chelsea's case its Leverkusen with almost 1 chance out of 3.

  • Here is the Ptobabilities table :

Whats your toughs ? preferences or predictions ?

0
  • History
Showing previous versions of this text.

Pot 1 : Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, Fc Barcelona, Chelsea, Dortmund, Atletico Madrid, Monaco, Porto.

Pot 2 : Arsenal, Juventus, Schalke 04, Bayer Leverkusen, Shaktar Donetsk, Man City, Basel, PSG.

Drawing rules : Each team wont be able to draw the team qualified from the same group, and any team from the same country.

For example, for Chelsea, they wont draw Arsenal, City and Schalke.
So their next rival will be one of the 5 : Juventus, Leverkusen, Donetsk, Basel, PSG.
Even though we could imagine that they have 20 per cent chances of drawing one of the 5, applying the drawing rules on all teams gives some teams more chances to meet them, in Chelsea's case its Leverkusen with almost 1 chance out of 3.

Here is the Ptobabilities table :

Whats your toughs ? preferences or predictions ?


**

Pot 1** : Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, Fc Barcelona, Chelsea, Dortmund, Atletico Madrid, Monaco, Porto.

Pot 2 : Arsenal, Juventus, Schalke 04, Bayer Leverkusen, Shaktar Donetsk, Man City, Basel, PSG.

Drawing rules : Each team wont be able to draw the team qualified from the same group, and any team from the same country.

For example, for Chelsea, they wont draw Arsenal, City and Schalke.
So their next rival will be one of the 5 : Juventus, Leverkusen, Donetsk, Basel, PSG.
Even though we could imagine that they have 20 per cent chances of drawing one of the 5, applying the drawing rules on all teams gives some teams more chances to meet them, in Chelsea's case its Leverkusen with almost 1 chance out of 3.

  • Here is the Ptobabilities table :

Whats your toughs ? preferences or predictions ?

Comments
Jimbet 10 years ago
Arsenal, Malaysia 12 1292

i hope Arsenal got either Monaco, Porto or At. Madrid. Not the other 3 probability. Please GOD please. -.-

4
Tuanis 10 years ago
Manchester United, England 87 2311

Bayern - Basel
Real Madrid - City
Atletico - Arsenal
Barcelona - Shalke
Chelsea - PSFG!
B Dortmund - Shaktar
Monaco - Juventus
Porto - Leverkusen

0
Lilywhite 10 years ago
28 468

Bayern - Juventus
Real Madrid - Arsenal
Atletico - Basel
Barcelona - Man City
Chelsea - PSG
Dortmund - Shakhtar
Porto - Leverkusen
Monaco - Schalke

0
tuan_jinn 10 years ago
Manchester United, Netherlands 198 6912

ALLLLL GAMES looks good except Porto - Lerverkusen and Monaco - Schalke :D why do I feel bad that 2 boring games would have 2 German in it?

0
quikzyyy 10 years ago
Arsenal 429 9010

I won't be surprised if we get again Barcelona/Bayern like always..

2
Lilywhite 10 years ago
28 468

Bayern, Real, Atletico, City, Chelsea, Dortmund, Porto, Monaco

Bayern, Real, City, Chelsea

Real, Chelsea

Winner: no idea

0
tiki_taka 10 years ago Edited
Barcelona, France 367 9768

Haha too soon to predict finalists, we could witness an already incredible quarters with Madrid-Bayern or Madrid-Chelsea.

I hope Barça draws Schalke or Leverkusen, and avoid at first place City because they would play their heart trying to get their revenge, Barça-Arsenal would be amazing for Sanchez, comming back to where he stepped levels and made a name in Europe.

Good to see Barça as outsiders, this would let them play their hearts and not just rely on talent.

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  • History
Showing previous versions of this text.

Haha too soon to predict finalists, we could witness an already incredible quarters with Madrid-Bayern or Madrid-City.

I hope Barça draws Schalke or Leverkusen, and avoid at first place City because they would play their heart trying to get their revenge, Barça-Arsenal would be amazing for Sanchez, comming back to where he stepped levels and made a name in Europe.

Good to see Barça as outsiders, this would let them play their hearts and not just rely on talent.

CroatiaFan123 10 years ago
Arsenal, Croatia 66 2775

Arsenal-Porto? Or Monaco? Or Atletico Madrid?

0
decentK 10 years ago
Arsenal 38 2896

What I'm 100% sure is that Arsenal get Bayern and Chelsea get the easiest possible. (;

0
CroatiaFan123 10 years ago
Arsenal, Croatia 66 2775

@Lilywhite Too early to predict, but you sure that Barca won't win against opponent they get?

0
CroatiaFan123 10 years ago
Arsenal, Croatia 66 2775

@decentK Arsenal can't get Chelsea till quarters. But, will we go to quarters?

0
CroatiaFan123 10 years ago Edited
Arsenal, Croatia 66 2775

We have big chances to draw Bayern Munich, but Bayer's chances to draw Chelsea are insane!

P.S. Which day is the draw? Wanna watch it on stream online.

EDIT: I just found out that draw is 15.12. in Nyon.

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  • History
Showing previous versions of this text.

We have big chances to draw Bayern Munich, but Bayer's chances to draw Chelsea are insane!

P.S. Which day is the draw? Wanna watch it on stream online.

Pupper 10 years ago
Juventus 0 214

Bayern - PSG
Real Madrid - Manchester City
Atletico - Shalke
Barcelona - Arsenal
Chelsea - Basel
Dortmund - Shaktar
Porto - Leverkusen
Monaco - Juventus

I wouldn't mind this.

0
quikzyyy 10 years ago
Arsenal 429 9010

Can be this year the year of underdogs? I mean last year there was Real vs Atletico, and no one even though that Atletico will make it that far but finished 2nd. Year before it was between Bayern and BVB. Will we see this year some underdog winning the champions league? Will we finally see an English team in the final?

0
Marcus2011 10 years ago Edited
Chelsea FC, England 277 6501

@quikzy

Would you be surprised if Arsenal gets Real Madrid ?

Would be something refreshing huh ))

IF Arsenal plays Atletico Madrid from all the top clubs I think they have much better chances if they met other top dogs . Not because I think Arsenal is stronger than Atletico , but Arsenal will be the style that Atletico will be very uncomfortable with . As well all know it is not always the strongest one who wins .

2
  • History
Showing previous versions of this text.

@quikzy

Would you be surprised if Arsenal gets Real Madrid ?

Would something refreshing huh ))

IF Arsenal plays Atletico Madrid from all the top clubs I think they have much better chances if they met other top dogs . Not because I think Arsenal is stronger than Atletico , but Arsenal will be the style that Atletico will be very uncomfortable with . As well all know it is not always the strongest one who wins .

quikzyyy 10 years ago
Arsenal 429 9010

No, I won't, more and more people are talking about it so I won't be surprised. Yea, Atletico and Arsenal may be a good clash, I agree with you. I would be more surprised if we get Monaco or Porto. What would you say to Chelsea vs. PSG? That may be a really good match to watch.

0
Marcus2011 10 years ago
Chelsea FC, England 277 6501

PSG with David Luiz in defense ? I don't mind. :) Though , It will be deferent this year because now we have a complete squad .

In the group phase, Matic made more tackles than any other player with 38, while Fabregas was only second behind Messi in the statistics of chances created, with 19 to the Argentinian's 22.

Eden Hazard also has the talent to exert great influence. He was third behind Ronaldo and Messi for shots on target, with 11 compared to their 18 and 13 respectively.

And We have furious striker Diego Costa.

Arsenal should get all the main injured players back and fit right on time . If Arsenal signs another quality quality DM and defender , I see them become a team that top clubs want to avoid in last 16 .

0
knibis 10 years ago
Valencia, Sweden 181 2500

Dortmund gotta be the worst group nr1 with their form, they had decently good CL-form this autumn but now even that seams to be gone. Yes they are still good but the best choice for the group number 2s. Monaco and Porto are the 2nd and 3rd weakest after BVB and then i gotta say that the other 5 are almost equally good.

0
Eden17Hazard17 10 years ago
Chelsea FC 157 4232

I'd much rather have Shakhtar or Monaco than Basel or Leverkusen

0
decentK 10 years ago
Arsenal 38 2896

@croatia you read it wrongly, it's 2 separate things. 1) Arsenal will get Bayern & 2) Chelsea will get easiest team possible.

0