Mohamed Salah
Who Will Be The Top Scorer In the English Premier League?

The battle for the English Premier League top scorer is piping hot and it is going to get even crazier. Everybody is focused on that Golden Boot race, and with more than 1,240 goals scored so far, the question is, who is going to be the top goal scorer in the league?

Well, it is going to be a tough race, so let’s compare the number of goals they’ve already scored and analyze their remaining matches just so we can make a prediction on who is going to top the charts.

Mohamed Salah – Liverpool

  • Goals: 27
  • Assists: 17
  • Games: 29

Salah’s tearing it up—27 goals as of March 17, per Sporting News, after a brace against Southampton.

At 32, he’s defying age with 1.8 shots on target per game (OPTA stats) and a knack for clutch moments — like his 54th-minute strike in a 3-2 win over Newcastle on March 9.

He’s won the Golden Boot before (2017-18, 32 goals; 2021-22, 23 goals), and Liverpool’s title chase —t op of the table with 65 points — means more chances.

Most bookmakers suggest that he is clearly a favorite to get the most goals in the English Premier League. But if you are looking through the soccer odds, betting lines and spreads, you can see that things can change game-by-game, so make sure you follow closely.

His contract’s up in June, and if he leaves midseason (highly unlikely), it’s game over.

Erling Haaland – Manchester City

  • Goals: 21
  • Assists: 3
  • Games: 29

Haaland’s at 21 goals, five back, despite City’s wobble — six losses, fifth with 48 points. The 24-year-old Norwegian’s a proven killer — 36 goals in 2022-23 (a record), 27 in 2023-24 — now at 0.71 goals per game.

He started hot — 10 goals in five games, including hat-tricks vs. Ipswich and West Ham — but has just three in his last 10. City’s April 5 clash with Liverpool could be pivotal if he’s fit; he’s dodged major injuries this year.

Chris Wood – Nottingham Forest

  • Goals: 18
  • Assists: 3
  • Games: 28

Wood has stunned everyone with 18 goals, third in the race at 34. Forest sits third with 51 points, and his 0.67 goals-per-game pace is career-best — his previous high was 14 (2019-20, Burnley).

It will be a tough job for Chris Wood to overtake Salah, but in football, anything is possible right? Clearly, he has the pace and he is in the perfect mood - motivated and pushing forward.

Alexander Isak – Newcastle United

  • Goals: 19
  • Assists: 5
  • Games: 28

Isak’s on 19 goals, fourth, with a 0.70 goals-per-game clip. The 25-year-old Sweden clearly has a great season.

Newcastle’s sixth with 47 points, and his odds are +900. He’s outdone his 2022-23 (10) and 2023-24 (21) tallies, hitting eight straight games earlier—hat-trick vs. Ipswich on December 26.

His 67 shots (33 on target) scream potential, but eight blanks this season nag. Tottenham on April 19’s a test.

Cole Palmer – Chelsea

  • Goals: 14
  • Assists: 6
  • Games: 28

Palmer’s at 14 goals, fifth, a 22-year-old star for Chelsea — fourth with 49 points.

At 0.50 goals per game, he’s behind — 13 goals off Salah — but Chelsea’s 64 team goals fuel him. Last year’s 22 suggest he could surge; 98 shots (40 on target) show intent. A soft run — West Ham, May 3 — might spark a late push, but he needs a miracle.

The Context: 2025’s Scoring Surge

This season’s wild—and we are seeing matches with lots of goals, which shows that football is opening up.

Salah’s 27 tops Haaland’s 27 from 2023-24’s full campaign.

Why? More attacking play—3.2 goals per game vs. 2.8 last year.

At this pace, Salah will clearly become the top goalscorer in the Premier League, unless Haaland pulls something amazing.

Who’s Got the Shot?

  • Salah (Liverpool): Sitting at 27 goals with 10 games left, he’s on pace for 35 goals (0.89 goals per game). Liverpool’s remaining fixtures include a tough Arsenal clash on April 19, but Salah’s durability shines — he’s played 2,520 minutes, missing just one league match (injury-related, December 2024). His 280 minutes-per-goal-involvement (goals + 17 assists) keeps him in pole position.
  • Haaland (Manchester City): With 21 goals, he’s projected to hit 30 (0.71 goals per game). City’s run-in is brutal — Liverpool on April 5, Chelsea on April 12 — and their form’s shaky (six losses, 53 points). Still, the 24-year-old’s a beast; he notched 52 goals across all competitions in 2022-23 and has 55 shots on target this season. No major injuries reported since December.
  • Wood (Nottingham Forest): At 18 goals, his 0.67 pace suggests a ceiling of 27 — ambitious for the 34-year-old. Forest face Manchester City on April 26, a potential stumbling block. His career-high is 14 (2019-20, Burnley); 18’s already a leap, and he lacks the big-game pedigree to push higher.
  • Isak (Newcastle United): With 19 goals, he’s tracking toward 28 (0.70 goals per game). Newcastle’s Tottenham match on April 19 tests him, but he’s on fire — eight goals in his last eight games, including a hat-trick vs. Ipswich on December 26 (BBC). At 25, he’s hitting stride, though consistency’s been spotty (eight blanks).
  • Palmer (Chelsea): Palmer’s 14 goals project to 21 (0.50 goals per game) — too far off the pace. Chelsea’s softer slate includes West Ham on May 3, but closing an 11-goal gap on Salah in 10 games is a tall order. At 22, he’s got 22 from 2023-24, but his 40 shots on target this year need sharper finishing.

Let’s just see how things go, we still have plenty of games up ahead, and anything can happen.

17.03.2025