How to devise a Premier League betting strategy
Whether a newbie to online gambling or you’ve got years of experience, there’s always a way to tweak your approach to football betting.
Bettors should consider looking into a Premier League betting strategy before placing wagers on football’s most-watched league.
Building Your Strategy
Having a clear strategy is important when taking part in any form of sports betting. Whether you’re looking at the outright markets, over/under picks, or player props at Paddy Power, it’s vital you have a process to identify where the betting value lies.
This might involve using Paddy Power’s acca calculator to decide which selections should be combined and what stakes you feel comfortable committing to a certain wager.
Learning from experience is part of devising a Premier League betting strategy. Analyse your past wagers to see what has worked and where you can improve.
Use Statistics
Find a group of websites you can use regularly to research the latest football statistics. Prioritise the accessibility of data and the usability of the platform itself. The clearer the presentation, the less likely you are to make mistakes.
FBref, WhoScored, and official competition websites are good starting places. These will cover everything from traditional to advanced statistics, with metrics like expected goals and post-shot xG becoming increasingly important when evaluating the betting markets.
Certain statistics are better at predicting outcomes than others. Look out for patterns developing, which could be a team seeing an increase in its corner count or a certain player drawing more fouls.
Follow Injury News
Use pages like transfermarkt’s Premier League injury list to keep up to date with the latest injury news for the teams you are looking to bet on.
Injuries are a massive part of betting on the Premier League. It’s not always about the quantity of injuries a team suffers – sometimes it’s down to a key player missing out.
For instance, there was a long period where Manchester City had an awful record when Vincent Kompany was unavailable. Other players might be less important if the manager has suitable replacements, so you don’t need to react to every single piece of injury news.
A team might have three injuries, but if they’re all to creative players, that could prove to be a problem when it comes to scoring goals. Each injury will have a different impact on a team, so it’s important to conduct research when you see the latest injury news.
It can also be helpful to wait until team news is announced before placing your bets if there is uncertainty over the availability of a key player.
Explore the Markets
Don’t be afraid to try out different markets when betting on the Premier League.
After some time, you will likely find certain markets which you feel appeal more than others. Perhaps both teams to score is consistently a good option but trying to identify a high-value double chance wager is trickier.
Bookmakers have a catalogue of betting markets to choose from on the Premier League. Have a thorough look around the options to see which markets are the best for your betting habits, but always keep in mind that sport is unpredictable, and you should never bet more than you can afford.
15.11.2024