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Portugal
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France

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*Stats from all competitions and matches in FR database between the two teams.
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Who's in form?

*Stats from all competitions and matches in FR database

How are they doing this season?

*Stats from this season of EURO Final Stage

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Who's been scoring?

*Stats from this season of EURO Final Stage

Match facts

Portugal

  • It’s a match between two of the pre-tournament favorites but neither have been convincing. Portugal hasn’t scored a goal in its last two matches — a 2-0 loss to Georgia and a 0-0 with Slovenia before winning a penalty shootout — while no France player has scored from open play at Euro 2024. The French have had two own-goals and a penalty from Mbappé.
  • Ronaldo burst into tears after having a penalty saved in extra time against Slovenia. Appearing in his record sixth European Championship, he has yet to score — if he does, the 39-year-old striker would be the oldest ever scorer at the tournament.

France

  • Mbappé will again be wearing a protective mask after sustaining a broken nose in France’s group opener against Austria. France coach Didier Deschamps said after the last-16 win over Belgium that Mbappé might need to wear the mask for “months.”
  • The match will be played exactly 18 years after the nations’ meeting in the 2006 World Cup semifinals, when Zinedine Zidane scored the winner from the penalty spot. Ronaldo played the full match and the player of the match was Lilian Thuram, whose son, Marcus, is likely to feature for France in Hamburg.

Predictions

Portugal and France will stage a rematch of the Euro 2016 final. The "European Brazilians" unexpectedly defeated the tournament's main favorite on their home turf back then.

The match's hero was goalkeeper Rui Patricio, but in 2024, Portugal had an equally reliable man between the posts. Diogo Costa saved his team one-on-one in the Round of 16 and became the first goalkeeper in Euro history not to concede during a penalty shootout. Will the keeper manage to carry his team through this time?

Didier Deschamps' pragmatic football dulls France's matches but prevents their opponents from showcasing their strengths. Portugal spends a lot of time on the ball (first in possession with 65.2%). Still, they have severe issues with variability in the final phase due to Cristiano Ronaldo's presence and the necessity to play for him. Such a predictable opponent should be easily read by France, who can exploit a defensive mistake in their style.

Don't underestimate the factor of physical readiness. Both teams played their Round of 16 matches on the same day, but the "Les Bleus" played against Belgium three hours earlier and avoided the unpleasant bonus of an extra 30 minutes; meanwhile, Portugal played all 120 minutes against Slovenia, followed by a penalty shootout. This aspect definitely goes in favor of France.

It's also worth noting that Portugal hasn't faced any top teams in the last year and a half. Their most high-profile opponent in this period was Croatia in a June friendly, and notably, the "Checkered Ones" won that match. Considering all these factors, we pick France with a (0) handicap.

However, we do not expect entertaining and sparkling football from either team. In their last two games, Portugal's monotonous attacks have been handled by less qualified opponents — not a single goal against Georgia and Slovenia. As for the French, they haven't played a single bright match at Euro 2024, having played four low-scoring games. A logical choice for this match is under 2.5 goals.

Final Score – 1 : 1

Can you predict the score?

Portugal
France
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Portugal
Draw
France

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